Know when to adjust

Monitor · stay on track

Know when to adjust

Monitor derives two balance thresholds from your plan. Review them once per year: if your balance exceeds the upper threshold, an increase in spending is supported. If it falls below the lower threshold, reduce spending by 10% until it recovers.

Probability the portfolio lasts to age 95

37%

Median ending balance $0 · modelled market returns

Your guardrails, in dollars

My portfolio is at today.

Raise spending if above

The balance at which success probability reaches 99%.

Cut spending if below

$642,197

The balance at which success probability falls to 70%. Reduce spending by 10% until the balance recovers above this line.

These thresholds are derived from the plan above. Review them once per year and adjust spending only when the balance has crossed a threshold.

Annual review checklist

  • ☐ Update the portfolio value above with the actual balance.
  • ☐ Verify that spending and income still match the Floor module.
  • ☐ Revisit the full plan every few years, or after major changes to spending, income, or tax status.

Something changed? Update the shared plan and every module follows.

Back to your plan